UFC FN143 Betting Tips & Plays

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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins finish, TJ appears sharp and has proven himself well prepared for the 125lb division. On the feet he ought to have a significant edge over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will allow him to land severe volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks will be a mortal option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s opportunities to shoot and on the ground he is going to be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the road to success looks slim for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The bet will be TJ Dillashaw to become the dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their match but stylistically that is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but probably quicker with more volume. Ostovich has a more straightforward style but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage . The size and strength of Ostovich will be a major advantage on the ground where the two women have a tendency to bring the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but takes insecure choices and leaves a lot of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise here and her superior control means she will spend a great deal more time on top or in dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth fight where we get excellent value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the“Violence Queen“ is making her debut following an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she has the advantage in most areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks speed and head motion. This battle is probably to perform out on the feet but on the mat it’s Lipski with the better skills. Calderwood is coming off a“lucky“ entry win in a fight where she had been having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and struggles with heart. At 24 years old she also will be revealing huge improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy with his rapid start and constant pressure. If this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone against the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a little probability against a strong wrestler. The energy, athleticism, youth and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to handle with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter as well as the fall back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch struggle from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Now it’s Ortiz who has shown the most improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez is still a leading contender but does seem like he’s marginally diminishing in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a few paths to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the toes concerning quantity, but packs considerable power. Benavidez has been wobbled always in recent fights suggesting his durability is evaporating. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle as Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined too broad.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to undertake the tough veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially into his later years and together with his durability evaporating his lack of head movement is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t known for his striking yet found huge victory himself on the toes in his last fight against Glover. The obvious issue for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he doesn’t get an early submission it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can not get it into the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a good bet.

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