This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Minnesota. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that match. There are just 14 more chairs remaining so there won’t be much more time to qualify if you are trying to. I will attempt to get my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, then I will likely have a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a cash match play of mine personally. There are better struggles to target if we’re on the lookout for 1st round knockouts but I will be focusing more on people in GPPs. I like the floor and the ceiling of Gordon here and that is exactly why he is the cash play of the week. I really don’t think Moret has the power to actually test the chin of Gordon’s that has appeared to be his biggest weakness lately. With the pace Gordon sets I presume he’s 100+ upside into a choice win and I really don’t see him getting completed here so he ought to have a good floor. I believe his flooring in a triumph is likely 80+ as well that is totally fine for money games. This is a tricky weak, however this is my personal favorite cash game spot of this week.
GPP drama of the week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I had to proceed with Ngannou here. When he wins it is probably a 1st round knockout. That is +100 about the gambling line. If he receives that 1st round KO, he then scores over 100 DK points and in his 8.8k salary which will place him on the 25k lineup. He will be very chalky this week though so make sure you load him up if you are multi-entering if you would like to find leverage over the field. I really do think JDS is a live underdog here too, so I will be targeting both sides of the fight, but I really do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here and that can beat a lot of the fighters priced above him.
Underdog drama of the week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I truly don’t love this card this week because I’m not picking any actual underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only man who’d be considered an underdog that I think will win and I did pick him put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we’re getting him for $200 less than Greene but I would not be shocked if Albini was the favorite on the gambling line going into the conflicts. With these men being Heavyweights, it doesn’t take much to get a knockout and should Albini can do that at $8k he can give me a rush at the perfect lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her previous fight as well and she burnt me scoring a 1st round entry. I am going back to the fade here though and trusting the same does not happen. On a card where I’m picking basically every favorite, I would rather select the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire in her 8.5k price label. I am not certain that going into the floor is in her best interest in this struggle and when she stays standing I don’t see her paying off value in a win. If I had been making 150 lineups this week then I’d be taking some shots on Whitmire, however I will likely only make ~20 and that I will not make my participant pool with this many lineups.
Thanks for reading this and great luck this weekend! If you Want my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I am 83-52 for +251.89un (+$25,421) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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