UFC FN150 Betting Tips & Plays

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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings big power on the toes and a durable way to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but contrary to the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated competitive striker for the branch, he was very aggressive. Perry is powerful in the clinch but his takedown defense remains unproven against a valid grappler. Cowboy could exploit the floor game as he has underrated wrestling, but he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent issue and here against Perry that could be a big mistake. He’s got large power himself but both men are very hittable. On the toes it probably favours Perry, at least for the first half of the fight when he’s most dangerous. Start Looking for a back and forth warfare, with the durability of Perry making the gap — as both men absorb serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a 3 fight losing streak but has been aggressive in all fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. In 40 years old that he brings a much less aggressive style nowadays which has lead to six consecutive decisions. His output seems to be slowing his precise boxing fashion stays, allowing him to work behind a jab against slower opponents. Sakai is considerably younger so could still be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He is large and throws powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with low quantity. Mostly a boxer, Arlovski will not need to worry about too many other weapons.
This is very likely to be a gradual struggle with the more effective striker coming out on top. Look for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai from the exterior or utilize his wrestling to maintain him against the weapon. If he can avoid getting caught a determination here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski in 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a severe BJJ blackbelt making her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she’s constant with takedowns and has a wide array of techniques to acquire conflicts to the ground. On top she is quite solid, keeping control and attacking subs. This is obviously a massive step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and has not displayed great takedown defense to coincide with her wrestling abilities. She would be best to attempt to keep this battle standing where her enhanced striking ought to have the ability to edge out volume.
Jandiroba is not proven at this level but looks to be the real deal, displaying outstanding technique and composure. Worst case situation Esparza can defend off her back and create scrambles to force striking exchanges, taking us to a close decision. A better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and procuring a unanimous decision or finding a entry. An Esparza end is quite unlikely. Given the chances and respective avenues to victory, a shot to the newcomer in even money is good price.

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